Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 4.144113 4.455416 4.789086 5.175111 5.611661 6.092733 6.666699
2025-06-01 3.577551 3.998395 4.478341 5.073002 5.799827 6.672765 7.822129
2025-06-08 3.278744 3.761772 4.336703 5.085000 6.054580 7.301105 9.084241
2025-06-15 3.091818 3.621778 4.274642 5.159792 6.365697 8.013641 10.563454
2025-06-22 2.840838 3.373225 4.044143 4.979217 6.298312 8.181791 11.273257
2025-06-29 2.655032 3.189732 3.877016 4.858602 6.287679 8.413202 12.106731
2025-07-06 2.504882 3.040060 3.739938 4.761428 6.291634 8.655394 12.994627
2025-07-13 2.401614 2.944314 3.666411 4.743813 6.406150 9.079313 14.292388
2025-07-20 2.342376 2.902813 3.662502 4.823589 6.674941 9.792180 16.326583
2025-07-27 2.299679 2.880246 3.681843 4.936991 7.007111 10.666664 18.979399
2025-08-03 2.231705 2.817998 3.639132 4.949568 7.170215 11.256679 21.206807
2025-08-10 2.151769 2.734461 3.559763 4.896942 7.213059 11.619110 23.009318
2025-08-17 2.049328 2.617723 3.430130 4.762809 7.113342 11.711946 24.239054
2025-08-24 1.965589 2.524971 3.332538 4.675601 7.093178 11.977177 26.135369
2025-08-31 1.913115 2.474961 3.296343 4.686396 7.255012 12.668232 29.767890
2025-09-07 1.877846 2.448168 3.293553 4.752276 7.529097 13.677030 35.280587
2025-09-14 1.793504 2.344754 3.165987 4.593153 7.340041 13.536552 36.253030
2025-09-21 1.726483 2.264858 3.071863 4.486649 7.247255 13.622974 38.316777
2025-09-28 1.668350 2.196186 2.992361 4.400714 7.187836 13.785246 40.907881
2025-10-05 1.628912 2.154361 2.953708 4.385124 7.273787 14.353136 46.138621
2025-10-12 1.609693 2.142499 2.962463 4.455699 7.552157 15.526552 56.510473
2025-10-19 1.597177 2.140276 2.986495 4.555887 7.909356 17.048135 72.706445
2025-10-26 1.568102 2.111079 2.964348 4.566989 8.064821 17.997756 87.324975